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Union Budget FY27: Sector‑Wise Outlook

Summary:


The Union Budget FY27 preview notes rising fertilizer subsidies, sustained capex, modernization across defence and infrastructure, consumption boosts from GST reforms, renewable energy focus, healthcare expansion, real estate tax relief and an overarching emphasis on fiscal prudence. PLI incentives persist.

Source: Bajaj Broking Research Desk

Introduction

As the Union Budget for FY 2027 approaches, the government’s focus appears to be on sustaining structural growth while revitalizing domestic demand. Recent policy moves such as GST rationalization and sweeping income‑tax relief have already helped consumers and businesses, but policymakers must now balance long‑term infrastructure ambitions with the near‑term need to cushion the economy from external shocks. The key pillars of the coming budget are expected to include a continued push for Make in India, enhanced allocations for rural welfare and a strategic evolution in the funding and execution of infrastructure and energy projects. Investors are therefore shifting their attention from headline order‑book growth to companies that can execute projects efficiently and translate orders into sustainable earnings.

Agriculture and Fertilizers

  • The agricultural sector remains a key policy focus as rising raw-material costs continue to pressure fertilizer prices. 

  • Attention is on whether higher fertilizer subsidies are provided to offset input costs, alongside the continuation of direct income support schemes. 

  • While these measures support rural stability, larger subsidies may limit spending flexibility elsewhere.

Capital Expenditure

  • Government capex has increased steadily, underscoring the focus on infrastructure-led growth. 

  • With GST rationalization and income-tax relief affecting revenues.

  • Sector-wise allocation trends will remain closely watched.

Defence, Railways, Roads and Highways

  • Investment momentum in these sectors is expected to continue, with emphasis shifting from expansion to modernization. 

  • Defence priorities include R&D and indigenous capabilities, while railways focus on safety systems, station upgrades, and faster execution. 

  • Roads and highways are likely to stress construction quality and timely delivery, favouring efficient executors over pure order winners.

Consumer Staples and Durables, Manufacturing and Electronics (EMS)

  • GST changes and income-tax relief are expected to support consumption. 

  • Alongside this, the push to position India as a global electronics hub continues. 

  • Focus remains on whether consumption trends sustain and if PLI-led manufacturing incentives for durables remain intact. 

  • Rural-focused consumer companies stand to benefit if demand holds.

Energy and Power

  • Green energy remains a central budget theme, with attention on renewable targets across wind, solar, and battery storage. 

  • Continued power-infrastructure spending, and potential private participation in nuclear projects.

  • A greater focus on energy-storage funding could support companies linked to grids, renewables, and large engineering projects.

Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals

  • Healthcare spending is on a gradual upward path, supporting the broader sector.

  • Expansion of health-insurance coverage will be a key monitorable. 

  • Private hospitals may face margin pressure if service coverage expands under regulated pricing structures.

Real Estate

  • Lower borrowing costs have supported housing demand.

  • Focus now shifting to possible enhancements in home-loan interest tax deductions.

  • Greater emphasis on affordable housing could improve demand in the mid-income segment.

Sector‑Wise Watch Points and Implications

Sector

Key watch points

Implications

Agriculture & Fertilisers

Fertilizer subsidies, direct income support

Stabilizes the rural economy but may limit funds for other projects

Capital Expenditure

Overall capex levels, sector allocation

Sustains infrastructure push while maintaining fiscal prudence

Defence, Railways, Roads & Highways

R&D, indigenous capabilities, safety systems, project execution

Favours efficient companies with local manufacturing

Consumer Staples & Durables / EMS

Consumption boost from GST/tax relief, PLI incentives

Rural‑market leaders could gain if demand rises

Energy & Power

Renewable targets (wind, solar, BESS), nuclear access

Supports smart grid, solar and large‑scale engineering firms

Healthcare & Pharma

Expanded health‑insurance coverage

Hospital margins may tighten under government rates

Real Estate

Tax deductions on home‑loan interest

Affordable housing boosts mid‑income sales

Conclusion

As the Budget draws near, market attention is shifting from headline announcements to execution. With GST rationalization and income‑tax relief already implemented, few big‑ticket announcements are expected. Fiscal prudence is set to remain the anchor as policymakers navigate heightened geopolitical and tariff‑related uncertainties.

Published Date : 29 Jan 2026

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