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Markets Daily By Bajaj Broking: Year-End Consolidation Sets the Stage for the Next Move

Synopsis:


Global markets end 2025 near record highs as U.S. equities consolidate. Nifty remains range-bound with key technical, derivative levels and stock-specific action in focus.


Welcome to your Markets Daily Update by Bajaj Broking. Don’t forget to check out Morning Podcast for more updates!

Also Read: Stock Market Live Updates

U.S. equities are set to close 2025 near record levels, marking a strong finish to the year. The S&P 500 is up around 17% for 2025, placing it among the index’s seven strongest three-year performances on record. Despite this impressive run, the final sessions of the year have seen some consolidation as investors reassess macro cues.

Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s December meeting revealed a divided FOMC on the recent rate cut. Policymakers reiterated that further easing will depend on sustained progress in cooling inflation, keeping markets cautious on the outlook for 2026.

In the latest session, U.S. indices ended marginally lower:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: -94.87 points (-0.20%) at 48,367.06

S&P 500: -9.51 points (-0.14%) at 6,896.23

Nasdaq Composite: -55.27 points (-0.23%) at 23,419.08

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244.817.53 (3.17 %)

Updated - 31 December 2025
254.75day high
DAY HIGH
240.09day low
DAY LOW
5732749
VOLUME (BSE)

Other Asset Classes

U.S. 10-year Treasury yield: 4.125%, paring earlier gains

Dollar Index (DXY): Near 98.20

Brent crude oil: Around $61.2 per barrel, down nearly 18% for the year

Spot gold: Trading near $4,342.50/oz, up approximately 65% in 2025

Asian Markets

Asian equities were largely subdued on the final trading day of 2025. Japanese markets remained closed, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 traded flat near 8,703, tracking muted overnight cues from Wall Street.

Gift Nifty & Indian Market Cues

Gift Nifty indicates a flat to mildly positive start for Indian equities. For today’s session, Nifty spot is expected to trade within the 25,000–26,200 range.

Market Recap: Previous Session (30th December)

Indian benchmark indices witnessed a volatile yet range-bound session, influenced by monthly expiry and Nifty rebalancing activity. A lack of strong global cues and persistent FII selling pressure capped upside momentum.

Sensex: -20.46 points (-0.02%) at 84,675.08

Nifty 50: -3.25 points (-0.01%) at 25,938.85

Sectorally, Metal, Auto, and PSU Bank stocks provided relative support. However, profit booking in Realty, Consumer Durables, and IT stocks limited gains.

The broader market remained under pressure:

Nifty Midcap: -0.15%

Nifty Smallcap: -0.28%
 

Nifty Short-Term Outlook

The Nifty formed a bullish pinbar candlestick, highlighting buying interest at lower levels after four consecutive declining sessions, largely driven by intraday volatility around the monthly F&O expiry.

The index is currently in a consolidation phase, dominated by stock-specific action. This consolidation is likely to persist within a broad 25,700–26,300 range, which has contained price action over the past four weeks.

A sustained breakout above 26,300 could open the door for an upside move toward 26,500 in the coming weeks.

On the hourly chart, the RSI rebounded from oversold levels, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback from key supports.

Immediate support lies at 25,700–25,800, aligning with the month’s lows and the 50-day EMA. Holding above this zone keeps the near-term outlook neutral to mildly positive.

Intraday Levels

Nifty

Resistance: 26,080 | 26,150

Support: 25,900 | 25,820

Bank Nifty

Resistance: 59,350 | 59,500

Support: 58,800 | 58,720

Stay tuned with Bajaj Broking for more market insights and daily updates.

Year-End Consolidation Sets the Stage for the Next Move

Published Date : 31 Dec 2025

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