Wall Street futures rise amid expectations of a December rate cut. Nifty hits a fresh high and consolidates with short-term support at 25,800. Bank Nifty remains in equilibrium, while gold, crude, and US yields show minor movements, keeping markets cautious yet optimistic.
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Wall Street was closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and will have a shortened trading session on Friday. Futures rose slightly in Thanksgiving-thinned trade, with markets remaining upbeat on expectations of lower interest rates in the coming months.
Investors are focusing on upcoming economic data next week, which will be among the last official readings before the Federal Reserve’s final meeting for the year on December 9–10. Renewed bets on a December rate cut have emerged following dovish signals from some Fed officials and weaker-than-expected economic data.
Markets now price an 82.8% chance of a 25-basis-point cut during December, up sharply from last week’s 32%, according to CME FedWatch. Speculation about a more dovish successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell also supported sentiment, with Kevin Hassett reportedly the frontrunner, expected to favor sharply lower rates.
Gold: Spot gold eased 0.2% to $4,156.89 per ounce, after hitting a near two-week high.
US Dollar: The dollar index rose 0.1% to 99.65, retreating from a six-month high. It is down 0.54% on the week.
US 10-Year Yield: Around 4.006%
Brent Crude: Up 0.2% to $63.34 per barrel
Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Friday as U.S. stock futures remained flat during Thanksgiving.
Japan’s Nikkei 225: -0.15% at open
Topix: Little changed
South Korea Kospi: -0.61%
Kosdaq: +1.66%
Gift Nifty: Signals a flat to positive opening for the Indian market. Nifty spot is likely to trade between 26,100–26,350.
Previous Session Recap
The Nifty hit a fresh all-time high on 27th November, marking a key milestone after 14 months. Selling pressure emerged afterward, but late buying helped Nifty close slightly higher at 26,215.55 (+0.04%). Sensex closed at 85,720.38 (+0.13%).
Sector-wise, most indices fell, with media, IT, and private banks as exceptions. Oil & gas, realty, consumer durables, and energy slipped ~0.5%. Midcap ended flat, small-cap down 0.5%.
Market participants are eyeing tomorrow’s GDP data, the US–India agreement, and the RBI policy announcement, which could shape short-term trends.
Nifty formed a small-bodied candle with shadows in either direction, signaling consolidation after the recent strong rally. Thursday’s session saw a fresh high of 26,310.
Expectations:
Positive bias toward 26,500–26,800 levels in the coming weeks.
Short-term support: 25,800–25,700 (aligned with 20- & 50-day EMAs and lower band of the rising channel).
Intraday Levels:
Resistance: 26,310 & 26,400
Support: 26,140 & 26,070
Bank Nifty Intraday Levels
Resistance: 60,000 & 60,270
Support: 59,500 & 59,310
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