Global markets gained as expectations for a December Fed rate cut strengthened sentiment. Nifty may trade between 25,750–26,100. Investors watch US inflation data, sector performances, and corporate developments, while options activity indicates a consolidation phase with potential breakouts.
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Global equity markets witnessed a positive tone as optimism around a potential U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut in December strengthened investor sentiment. Cooling inflation signals and supportive macro data continue to guide market direction across asset classes.
The U.S. stock market closed higher on Tuesday as gains in healthcare and consumer stocks offset losses in technology, led by Nvidia.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Up 663 points or 1.4%
S&P 500: Gained 0.9%
NASDAQ Composite: Added 0.7%
In-line producer inflation data and weaker-than-expected retail sales for September reinforced expectations that inflation pressures are easing. This provided the Federal Reserve with greater flexibility to begin rate cuts. Two Fed officials have also voiced support for a December rate cut.
According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in an 80.2% probability of a 25-basis-point cut at the Fed’s December 9–10 policy meeting, sharply higher than last week’s 43.4%.
The PCE price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, is scheduled for release on Wednesday and will be closely monitored by investors and policymakers.
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield: Fell over 3 basis points to 4.004%
Gold: Spot gold declined 0.21% to $4,130.67 per ounce
Dollar Index: Slipped 0.31% to 99.83
Brent Crude: Dropped 1.4% to $62.48 per barrel
Asia-Pacific markets traded in positive territory on Wednesday, tracking Wall Street’s gains amid rising hopes of a Fed rate cut.
Japan: Nikkei 225 and Topix rose 0.9%
South Korea: Kospi gained 0.67%, Kosdaq advanced 0.64%
Gift Nifty & Indian Market Outlook
Gift Nifty indicates a positive start for Indian markets.
Expected Nifty trading range today: 25,750 – 26,100
Market Performance in the Previous Session
Benchmark indices ended lower on November 25 after a volatile session marked by monthly F&O expiry.
Sensex: Down 313.70 points (0.37%) at 84,587.01
Nifty: Fell 74.7 points (0.29%) to 25,884.80
Nifty Realty: +1.62%
Nifty PSU Bank: +1.44%
Top Laggards:
Nifty Media and Nifty IT: Declined 0.6% to 0.9%
Broader Markets:
Midcap index: +0.36%
Small-cap index: +0.19%
Investors now await Wednesday’s U.S. inflation data, which could offer further clarity on the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook.
Nifty has formed its third consecutive bearish candle, registering lower highs and lower lows—signaling continued profit booking near record levels.
Near-term consolidation range: 25,700 – 26,250
The broader uptrend remains intact, as the last two months’ rally continues to form a rising channel.
Key short-term support: 25,600 – 25,800 (50-day EMA and channel support)
The current consolidation phase can be used to accumulate quality large- and mid-cap stocks in a staggered manner.
Nifty
Resistance: 26,000 | 26,080
Support: 25,860 | 25,750
Bank Nifty
Resistance: 59,160 | 59,350
Support: 58,600 | 58,410
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