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Global Cues Turn Cautious; RBI Policy and Tariffs in Focus

Synopsis:


Global equities declined on weak U.S. data and trade tensions. Indian indices ended lower on broad-based weakness, with focus shifting to RBI policy outcome. Nifty remains range-bound, with key support at 24,400 and volatility likely to stay elevated.


Welcome to Markets Daily by Bajaj Broking, your trusted source for the latest market insights to help you stay ahead of the curve. Don’t forget to check out our Morning Podcast for more updates!

Also Read: Stock Market Live Updates

Global Cues Turn Cautious; RBI Policy and Tariffs in Focus

Global Market Overview

Global markets ended lower on Tuesday after weaker-than-expected U.S. services data reignited concerns about the strength of the world’s largest economy. The S&P 500 fell 0.4%, while the Nasdaq dropped 0.7% and the Dow Jones slipped 0.1%.

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported a surprise dip in non-manufacturing PMI to 50.1 in July, below the expected 51.5, indicating stagnation in the services sector.

Other key global cues:

Treasury yields held steady.

U.S. Dollar edged higher.

Crude oil prices dipped due to rising OPEC+ supply and renewed U.S.-India trade tensions.

Investors remain cautious ahead of major earnings reports from Disney, McDonald's, and Uber.

Also Read: Banking Mergers in India

OIL AND NATURAL GAS CORP.

Trade

233.77-0.70 (-0.29 %)

Updated - 06 August 2025
235.37day high
DAY HIGH
232.91day low
DAY LOW
7568954
VOLUME (BSE)

Asian Market Snapshot

Asian markets traded mixed, mirroring Wall Street's cautious tone:

Japan: Nikkei declined, Topix inched higher.

South Korea: Kospi and Kosdaq posted losses.

Weak U.S. data and rising global trade tensions, especially renewed tariff threats from former U.S. President Donald Trump, weighed on investor sentiment.

Indian Market Overview

Indian benchmarks ended lower on August 5, amid broad-based selling and ahead of the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) announcement scheduled for today.

Sensex: Down 308 points (–0.38%) at 80,710.25

Nifty 50: Down 73 points (–0.30%) at 24,649.55

Also Read: Types of Risk: Differences & Importance

Sectoral Highlights:

Nifty Auto outperformed with a 0.4% gain.

Banking, IT, FMCG, Oil & Gas, and Pharma witnessed profit-booking, each declining around 0.5%.

Midcap & Smallcap indices saw marginal cuts, reflecting subdued broader market action.

Investor mood remained cautious due to:

Sustained FII outflows

Global trade tensions

Uncertainty ahead of the RBI policy decision

GIFT Nifty & Opening Expectations

GIFT Nifty indicates a negative opening for Indian markets.

Expect Nifty to consolidate between 24,400 and 24,800 in today’s session.

Nifty Technical Outlook

On the daily chart, Nifty formed a bearish candlestick fully inside the prior session’s range — a classic sign of ongoing consolidation.

Key Observations:

Volatility likely to stay high amid macro triggers:

RBI MPC outcome

U.S.-India tariff tensions

Strong support: 24,500–24,400

Backed by:

100-day EMA

Prior swing low

61.8% Fibonacci retracement (from 23,935 to 25,669)

Unless Nifty decisively breaks below 24,400, expect a sideways trend between 24,400–25,000. A breach may trigger a move to 24,200.

Intraday Levels

Nifty

Resistance: 24,690 / 24,800

Support: 24,530 / 24,420

Bank Nifty

Resistance: 55,550 / 55,790

Support: 55,100 / 54,860

Also Read: Most Expensive Stocks in the World: an Overview

That’s all for today’s Markets Daily. Stay tuned for our post-RBI analysis and expert insights to help you navigate the market volatility. Don’t forget to subscribe to our podcast.

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