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Global equities declined on weak U.S. data and trade tensions. Indian indices ended lower on broad-based weakness, with focus shifting to RBI policy outcome. Nifty remains range-bound, with key support at 24,400 and volatility likely to stay elevated.
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Global markets ended lower on Tuesday after weaker-than-expected U.S. services data reignited concerns about the strength of the world’s largest economy. The S&P 500 fell 0.4%, while the Nasdaq dropped 0.7% and the Dow Jones slipped 0.1%.
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported a surprise dip in non-manufacturing PMI to 50.1 in July, below the expected 51.5, indicating stagnation in the services sector.
Other key global cues:
Treasury yields held steady.
U.S. Dollar edged higher.
Crude oil prices dipped due to rising OPEC+ supply and renewed U.S.-India trade tensions.
Investors remain cautious ahead of major earnings reports from Disney, McDonald's, and Uber.
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Asian markets traded mixed, mirroring Wall Street's cautious tone:
Japan: Nikkei declined, Topix inched higher.
South Korea: Kospi and Kosdaq posted losses.
Weak U.S. data and rising global trade tensions, especially renewed tariff threats from former U.S. President Donald Trump, weighed on investor sentiment.
Indian benchmarks ended lower on August 5, amid broad-based selling and ahead of the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) announcement scheduled for today.
Sensex: Down 308 points (–0.38%) at 80,710.25
Nifty 50: Down 73 points (–0.30%) at 24,649.55
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Nifty Auto outperformed with a 0.4% gain.
Banking, IT, FMCG, Oil & Gas, and Pharma witnessed profit-booking, each declining around 0.5%.
Midcap & Smallcap indices saw marginal cuts, reflecting subdued broader market action.
Investor mood remained cautious due to:
Sustained FII outflows
Global trade tensions
Uncertainty ahead of the RBI policy decision
GIFT Nifty & Opening Expectations
GIFT Nifty indicates a negative opening for Indian markets.
Expect Nifty to consolidate between 24,400 and 24,800 in today’s session.
On the daily chart, Nifty formed a bearish candlestick fully inside the prior session’s range — a classic sign of ongoing consolidation.
Key Observations:
Volatility likely to stay high amid macro triggers:
RBI MPC outcome
U.S.-India tariff tensions
Strong support: 24,500–24,400
Backed by:
100-day EMA
Prior swing low
61.8% Fibonacci retracement (from 23,935 to 25,669)
Unless Nifty decisively breaks below 24,400, expect a sideways trend between 24,400–25,000. A breach may trigger a move to 24,200.
Intraday Levels
Nifty
Resistance: 24,690 / 24,800
Support: 24,530 / 24,420
Bank Nifty
Resistance: 55,550 / 55,790
Support: 55,100 / 54,860
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That’s all for today’s Markets Daily. Stay tuned for our post-RBI analysis and expert insights to help you navigate the market volatility. Don’t forget to subscribe to our podcast.
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