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Markets Daily By Bajaj Broking: Global Markets & Nifty Outlook: Cautious Optimism Amid Volatility

Synopsis:


Global equities advanced on easing U.S. inflation, lifting rate-cut expectations and tech stocks. Asian markets climbed ahead of the BOJ decision, while Indian indices stayed volatile, with Nifty consolidating near key support amid cautious derivative positioning.

 

Welcome to your Markets Daily Update by Bajaj Broking. Don’t forget to check out Morning Podcast for more updates!

Also Read: Stock Market Live Updates

Global Market Update

U.S. equity markets closed higher on Thursday, led by a strong rebound in large-cap technology stocks following recent selloffs. Investor sentiment improved after weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer inflation data strengthened expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the coming year.

The S&P 500 advanced 0.8%, while the NASDAQ Composite climbed 1.4%, supported by buying in major tech names. The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 65 points, or 0.1%.

Inflation data released for November showed U.S. consumer prices rising at a slower pace than anticipated. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 2.7% year-on-year, easing from 3.0% in September and coming in below the market expectation of 3.1%. This marked the first inflation print since the government shutdown ended in mid-November, reinforcing optimism around a more accommodative monetary policy outlook.

BHARAT PETROLEUM CORP LT

Trade

365.952.60 (0.71 %)

Updated - 19 December 2025
367.45day high
DAY HIGH
362.10day low
DAY LOW
6515994
VOLUME (BSE)

Other Asset Classes

Bond yields declined as markets priced in softer inflation and a dovish rate trajectory. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell over 3 basis points to 4.118%.

Gold prices edged lower despite the inflation print, as profit booking capped gains. Spot gold was last trading 0.2% lower at $4,330.39 per ounce.

The U.S. dollar index weakened 0.15% to 98.22, reflecting reduced demand for the greenback amid easing rate expectations.

In energy markets, Brent crude rose 0.23% to settle at $59.82 per barrel, supported by modest buying interest.

Asian Markets

Asia-Pacific markets traded higher on Friday as investors awaited the outcome of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy meeting scheduled later in the day.

In early trade, Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 0.56%, while the Topix rose 0.57%. South Korea’s Kospi advanced 0.68%, and the Kosdaq added 0.53%.

Japanese inflation data released ahead of the BOJ decision showed consumer price inflation remaining steady in November. While underlying inflation cooled slightly, it continued to stay well above the central bank’s annual target. Markets widely expect the BOJ to announce a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, keeping investors cautious but optimistic.

Gift Nifty Indication

Gift Nifty signals a positive start for Indian equities. The Nifty spot is expected to trade in the range of 25,700–26,050 during today’s session.

Indian Markets: Previous Session Recap

Indian equity benchmarks ended nearly flat in a highly volatile session on December 18. The indices moved higher in the first half, with the Nifty touching an intraday high of 25,902, but surrendered gains in the latter half due to emerging selling pressure.

By the close, the Sensex slipped 77.84 points (0.09%) to 84,481.81, while the Nifty edged down 3 points (0.01%) to 25,815.55.

Broader markets outperformed the benchmarks. The midcap index rose 0.34%, while the small-cap index gained 0.13%.

Sectorally, realty stocks edged up 0.3%, and IT stocks emerged as top performers, gaining over 1%, supported by selective buying and currency-related tailwinds. In contrast, auto, media, pharma, oil & gas, and capital goods stocks remained under pressure, declining between 0.3% and 1%.

Nifty Short-Term Outlook

The Nifty formed a small bullish candle with long shadows on either side, indicating consolidation amid elevated volatility. However, the index continues to maintain a lower high–lower low structure, suggesting a corrective bias.

The index rebounded from the crucial 25,700–25,800 support zone, which coincides with the 50-day EMA, last week’s low, and a key retracement level. A decisive close below this region could open further downside towards the 100-day EMA, placed near 25,500–25,400.

On the upside, immediate resistance is seen near 26,000–26,050, aligned with a downward trendline from recent highs. A sustained move above this level could propel the Nifty towards the 26,200–26,300 zone.

Intraday Levels for Nifty

Resistance: 25,940 | 26,050

Support: 25,750 | 25,670

Bank Nifty Intraday Levels

Resistance: 59,270 | 59,500

Support: 58,710 | 58,500

Stay tuned with Bajaj Broking for more market insights and daily updates. 

Global Markets Rally as US Indices Hit Record Highs; Indian Equities Rebound Strongly

Published Date : 19 Dec 2025

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