The Settlement Price is a critical concept in financial markets, most notably derivatives, commodities, and futures contracts. It's a key indicator for determining daily profit or loss, margin requirements, and settling amounts at the end of trading.
To put it simply, the Settlement Price is the official closing price of a given asset or contract for the day. Having a grasp of what Settlement Price is aids traders in managing risk, calculating margins, and ensuring that the market system is fair and transparent.
We will dig deeper into what it is and how it is determined, as well as establish why it matters to make trading decisions.
What is the Settlement Price?
The Settlement Price is the price given to a financial instrument at the end of a trading day - it is determined by exchanges mathematically by calculating a weighted average of trades or prices from a designated time period.
The Settlement Price is significant to futures and options contracts when determining daily market-to-market transactions, whether typical profit and loss (P&L) calculations, use in establishing collateral margins, etc. The Settlement Price is to represent fair value by reducing the impact of an immediate or artificial price movement.
In India, exchanges such as the NSE, BSE will use a set formula established by the exchange to calculate the Settlement Price mathematically. In the case of equity derivatives, the Settlement Price can be calculated from the closing price of the underlying stock/instrument or index. For commodities, it is either the average of the last trades over a designated time period during the trading session, or the last trades at the end of the trading session, etc.
Settlement Price is important for equity derivatives (e.g., stock futures and options) and commodities and provides a standard method of calculation to maintain fairness and reduce the likelihood of traders taking unfair advantage when the market faces a popularity spike.
Settlement Prices for Specific Markets
Below is the functionality of the Settlement Price across various market segments:
Equity Derivatives:
The Settlement Price is based on the closing price of the underlying stock or index. It is used for marking contracts to market and recognising daily profit or loss.
Commodities:
Calculated using the weighted average of trades during the last few minutes. It is critical for physical delivery contracts and ensures accurate profit and loss computation.
Currency Derivatives:
Determined using the RBI reference rate or average closing prices. It is used to settle contracts and assess margin obligations.
Index Options:
The Settlement Price is typically the closing value of the index. It impacts the final payouts of both call and put option contracts.
Each exchange follows its defined rules for calculating the Settlement Price, but the main objective remains the same, fair settlement, transparency, and protection against manipulation.
Example of the Settlement Price
Suppose a trader owns a call option on stock ABC with a strike price of ₹1,000. At expiry, the stock closed at ₹1,050, and the exchange has declared (₹1,048) as the Settlement Price.
In this instance, the call option's intrinsic value = (₹1,048 - ₹1,000) = ₹48.
If the Settlement Price had been ₹995, the option would have still expired worthless, irrespective of day-to-day price swings. It could provide consistency and mitigate the risk of the price swinging from outside the market near the close.
These calculations are important because the Settlement Price is how you determine profit/loss, and subsequently, the amount to be received from the trading exchange. The exchange pays close attention to this entire process to validate accuracy and to ensure that all participants have a fair undertaking in this framework.
Importance of the Settlement Price in Options Trading
The Settlement Price is an important aspect of facilitating the business of options trading. The Settlement Price provides traders with an understanding of their positions, helps with risk exposure, and ensures fair market settlements. The major points are as follows:
Realisation of Profit or Loss:
The Settlement Price is the yardstick against which profit or loss is realised on open option positions. The Settlement Price allows all traders to settle their contracts at a fair market value.
Margin Requirements:
The exchange determines the daily margin requirements based on the Settlement Price. In the event of price movement, margin requirements are determined based upon the settlement price for the day in question; this avoids a trader having to cover a notional loss without having the necessary margin.
Price Manipulation Reduction:
Since the Settlement Price represents an average of several trades that take place towards the end of the market, the risk of one isolated trade occurring later in the day being able to shift the entire contract value is diminished.
Transparent Settlements:
The Settlement Price guarantees that all market transactions are settled using standardised protocols already agreed upon. As a result, whether the trader is a large customer or not, the price at settlement will always occur at fair value, promoting fairness and confidence.
Guides Trading Strategies:
Traders typically review prior Settlement Prices and seek correlations or patterns. If those correlations are relatively consistent, those patterns can inform better trading strategies for trading future contracts and managing trading risk.
Supports Fair Valuation:
The Settlement Prices assist in determining that all contracts are settled at fair value, which results in positions based on reality rather than transitory volatility or speculation.
Additional Read: What is Trade Settlement?
Impact of the Settlement Price on Option Prices and Trading Strategies
The Settlement Price plays a major role in the pricing, trading, and risk management within the options markets. The settlement price of an option decides the premium the holder receives. It affects the option's value, market sentiment, and the choices traders have to use or trade the option.
Effect on Call and Put Option Premiums:
A higher Settlement Price means the call option premium increases while the put option premium decreases. A lower Settlement Price means the put option premium increases and the call option premium decreases.
Establishes Expired Payouts:
At the contract's expiry, traders settle their positions based on the settlement price. Whether they make a profit or a loss depends on whether the strike price is above or below the settlement price.
Acknowledgment of the Hedging Strategy:
The Settlement Price will help traders determine their current open risk. The hedger will utilise the Settlement Price to adjust their positions to further reduce exposure to volatility in the marketplace or price movements.
Risk Management:
The Settlement Price is used to determine the daily mark-to-market difference trades, and traders use the price to help manage liquidity, avoiding margin calls and during their attempts to protect against losing trades.
Market Signal:
A higher Settlement Price indicates positive overall market sentiment, while a lower Settlement Price indicates negative overall market sentiment. Consequently, investors think of the Settlement Price as a signal of future movement, and they will act on that signal in terms of their trading.
Conclusion
More than just a closing price, the Settlement Price is a key factor in terms of fairness in the market and accurate accounting. It plays a key role in margin calls, settlement of open positions, and settling contracts in derivatives, commodities, and currency markets.
The Settlement Price protects exchanges and traders from market manipulation and sudden price volatility by guaranteeing standardised, fair, transparent settlements. The Settlement Price also supports sound risk management, liquidity control, and dispute resolution.