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Share Market Today | GIFT Nifty Flat, Nasdaq Dips Over 1%

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Synopsis:

Today’s latest market updates: MSCI Index rejig to bring $2B in India, GIFT Nifty archives record turnover of $88.10B in May, IDFC First plans to raise ₹3,200 Cr, Aditya Birla Sun AMC promoters to sell up to 0.32% stake, plus other global market news.

Latest Market News

  1. MSCI Index rebalancing on May 31 is expected to bring $2 billion into Indian equities.
  2. GIFT Nifty achieved a record monthly turnover of $88.10 billion in May 2024.
  3. IDFC First Bank plans to raise ₹3,200 crore from LIC, SBI General, and others.
  4. Jio Financial Services launched the 'JioFinance' app in beta, integrating digital banking, UPI, bill payments, insurance advisory, and account management.
  5. Aditya Birla Sun AMC Promoters will sell up to a 0.32% stake from May 31 to October 10 to meet MPS norms.
  6. The US Q1 GDP growth rate is estimated at 1.3%, lower than the expected 1.6%.
  7. US initial jobless claims for the week ending May 25 increased to 2.19 lakh from 2.16 lakh the previous week.
  8. FIIs sold a net ₹3,050.15 crore in equities yesterday, while DIIs bought a net ₹3,432.92 crore.

In-Depth Market Insights: Global Outlook, Derivatives & More

US Share Market News

  • 1. Performance Overview:

    On Thursday, the US stocks took a dip, especially the Nasdaq which dropped over 1%, mainly due to tech shares sliding following a less-than-expected forecast from Salesforce.

    2. Economic Indicators:

  • The US economy grew by 1.3% annually from January to March, slightly lower than the initial estimate of 1.6%. This adjustment came as consumer spending and a key measure of inflation saw minor decreases.

  • Investors also analysed data that indicated slower-than-anticipated economic growth in Q1.

  • Another report revealed a higher-than-anticipated increase in weekly jobless claims.

  • Meanwhile, investors await April's personal consumption expenditure report for further insights.

  • 3. Sector-Specific Movements:

  • The S&P 500 dropped by 0.60% to 5,235.48, the Nasdaq lost 1.08% at 16,737.08, and the Dow Jones fell 0.86% to 38,111.48.

  • US stocks are poised for a robust finish this month, with major indices eyeing their sixth positive month in seven. The Dow is up 0.8%, the S&P 500 by 4%, and the Nasdaq Composite, with a gain of about 7%, is set for its best month since November 2023, when it surged 10.70%.

  • Other Asset Classes

    1. Treasury Yields:

    On Thursday, the US Treasury yields fell as investors awaited key economic data and evaluated the economy. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped over 7 basis points to 4.55%, dipping below the 4.6% level reached on Wednesday for the first time in a month.

    2. Currency:

    The dollar fell after revised data revealed slower-than-expected GDP growth in the first quarter. The US dollar index reached 105.18 overnight, the highest since May 14, but later dropped 0.37% to 104.74.

    3. Commodities:

  • US crude oil dropped over 1%, heading for its worst month of the year amid weak gasoline demand at the start of the summer driving season. It's down 4.9% in May, the biggest decline since December. Brent crude has fallen 6.8% this month, marking its first negative month in five.

  • Gold prices edged up on Thursday as the dollar and Treasury yields slipped, following US economic data that boosted hopes for a Fed rate cut this year. Spot gold rose 0.13% to $2,341.89 per ounce, while US gold futures closed 0.1% higher at $2,366.50.

  • Asian Markets

    1. General Trends:

    Asia-Pacific markets opened higher in Friday’s morning session as investors analysed the recent economic data from major countries across the region.

    2. Specific Index Performance:

  • Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.23%, and the Topix index increased by nearly 0.7%.

  • South Korea’s Kospi led gains in Asia, climbing 1.07%, while the smaller-cap Kosdaq added 0.73%.

  • India Market Outlook

    1. GIFT Nifty Projection:

    GIFT Nifty indicates a flat to positive opening for the Indian market. After a 700-point drop over the last four sessions, Nifty appears oversold, suggesting a potential pullback today. If the Nifty spot holds above last week's low of 22,400, it could rise to 22,650-22,700.

    2. Nifty Short-Term Outlook:

  • Benchmark indices extended their decline for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday, influenced by weak global cues. The Nifty fell by 0.95% to 22,488, while the Bank Nifty rebounded slightly, gaining 0.4% to 48,682.

  • The broader market saw significant declines, with the Nifty Midcap and small-cap indices down by 1.3% and 1.6%, respectively.

  • The market's corrective phase, marked by four consecutive bearish candles, is expected to persist with high volatility due to the upcoming General Election.

  • However, if the Nifty holds above the 22,000-21,900 range, the short-term trend remains positive, potentially rising to 23,300-23,500 in the coming weeks.

  • 3. Intraday Levels:

  • Nifty: Intraday resistance is situated at 22590, followed by 22670 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 22410, followed by 22330.

  • Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 48990, followed by 49250, while downside support is found at 48480, followed by 48300.

  • Fin Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 21690, followed by 21800, while downside support is found at 21530, followed by 21450.

  • Derivative Market Analysis

    1. Nifty:

  • The highest call OI addition for Nifty is at the 23,000 level, indicating it as a key resistance, with 22,500 as an immediate resistance. If Nifty sustains above 22,500, it may move towards 23,000.

  • Major put OI additions are at 22,000 and 22,500, suggesting that if the price stays below 22,500, it could decline towards 22,000. The 22,500 level, with significant call-and-put OI accumulation, is critical for today's movement.

  • The immediate range for Nifty is between 22,000 and 23,000, and the put-call ratio has risen by 0.33 to 1.12.

  • 2. Bank Nifty:

    Stay on top of the latest market news with Bajaj Broking’s insights. Our point-to-point expert analysis digs deep into the surface, empowering you with a unique perspective on the events in the domestic and global stock markets. Get all the current share market news, including US share market updates in one place and make wise investment decisions.

    Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.

    This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.

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  •  
    • On Thursday, the US stocks took a dip, especially the Nasdaq which dropped over 1%, mainly due to tech shares sliding following a less-than-expected forecast from Salesforce.
    • The US economy grew by 1.3% annually from January to March, slightly lower than the initial estimate of 1.6%. This adjustment came as consumer spending and a key measure of inflation saw minor decreases.
    • Investors also analysed data that indicated slower-than-anticipated economic growth in Q1.
    • Another report revealed a higher-than-anticipated increase in weekly jobless claims.
    • Meanwhile, investors await April's personal consumption expenditure report for further insights.
    • The S&P 500 dropped by 0.60% to 5,235.48, the Nasdaq lost 1.08% at 16,737.08, and the Dow Jones fell 0.86% to 38,111.48.
    • US stocks are poised for a robust finish this month, with major indices eyeing their sixth positive month in seven. The Dow is up 0.8%, the S&P 500 by 4%, and the Nasdaq Composite, with a gain of about 7%, is set for its best month since November 2023, when it surged 10.70%.
    • On Thursday, the US Treasury yields fell as investors awaited key economic data and evaluated the economy. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped over 7 basis points to 4.55%, dipping below the 4.6% level reached on Wednesday for the first time in a month.
    • The dollar fell after revised data revealed slower-than-expected GDP growth in the first quarter. The US dollar index reached 105.18 overnight, the highest since May 14, but later dropped 0.37% to 104.74.
    • US crude oil dropped over 1%, heading for its worst month of the year amid weak gasoline demand at the start of the summer driving season. It's down 4.9% in May, the biggest decline since December. Brent crude has fallen 6.8% this month, marking its first negative month in five.
    • Gold prices edged up on Thursday as the dollar and Treasury yields slipped, following US economic data that boosted hopes for a Fed rate cut this year. Spot gold rose 0.13% to $2,341.89 per ounce, while US gold futures closed 0.1% higher at $2,366.50.
    • Asia-Pacific markets opened higher in Friday’s morning session as investors analysed the recent economic data from major countries across the region.
    • Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.23%, and the Topix index increased by nearly 0.7%.
    • South Korea’s Kospi led gains in Asia, climbing 1.07%, while the smaller-cap Kosdaq added 0.73%.
    • GIFT Nifty indicates a flat to positive opening for the Indian market. After a 700-point drop over the last four sessions, Nifty appears oversold, suggesting a potential pullback today. If the Nifty spot holds above last week's low of 22,400, it could rise to 22,650-22,700.
    • Benchmark indices extended their decline for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday, influenced by weak global cues. The Nifty fell by 0.95% to 22,488, while the Bank Nifty rebounded slightly, gaining 0.4% to 48,682.
    • The broader market saw significant declines, with the Nifty Midcap and small-cap indices down by 1.3% and 1.6%, respectively.
    • The market's corrective phase, marked by four consecutive bearish candles, is expected to persist with high volatility due to the upcoming General Election.
    • However, if the Nifty holds above the 22,000-21,900 range, the short-term trend remains positive, potentially rising to 23,300-23,500 in the coming weeks.
    • Nifty: Intraday resistance is situated at 22590, followed by 22670 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 22410, followed by 22330.
    • Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 48990, followed by 49250, while downside support is found at 48480, followed by 48300.
    • Fin Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 21690, followed by 21800, while downside support is found at 21530, followed by 21450.
    • The highest call OI addition for Nifty is at the 23,000 level, indicating it as a key resistance, with 22,500 as an immediate resistance. If Nifty sustains above 22,500, it may move towards 23,000.
    • Major put OI additions are at 22,000 and 22,500, suggesting that if the price stays below 22,500, it could decline towards 22,000. The 22,500 level, with significant call-and-put OI accumulation, is critical for today's movement.
    • The immediate range for Nifty is between 22,000 and 23,000, and the put-call ratio has risen by 0.33 to 1.12.
    • The highest call OI addition for Bank Nifty is at the 50,000 level, indicating major resistance, with immediate resistance at the 49,000 level.
    • Major put OI addition is at the 48,500 level, providing strong support. Thus, the immediate range for Bank Nifty is between 48,500 and 49,000.
    • A break outside this range could trigger a directional move. The put-call ratio has decreased by 0.05 to 0.88.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly is the stock market, and how does it work?

Answer Field

The stock market is a platform where investors buy and sell shares of publicly traded companies. It operates through stock exchanges, where supply and demand for securities determine prices.

Why should I consider investing in the stock market?

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Investing in the stock market offers the potential for long-term wealth growth, dividend income, portfolio diversification, and ownership stakes in successful companies.

How can I start investing in the stock market?

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To begin investing in stocks, individuals can open a brokerage account, conduct research on companies and industries, and start building a diversified portfolio aligned with their investment goals and risk tolerance.

What factors should I consider before investing in stocks?

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Important factors to consider include investment goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, market research, diversification, and staying informed about economic and market trends.

What are the risks associated with stock market investments?

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Risks include market volatility, liquidity risk, company-specific risks, and the potential for loss of capital. It's essential for investors to assess their risk tolerance and diversify their portfolios accordingly.

How do I stay informed about daily market happenings?

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You can stay informed by monitoring financial news websites, market analysis reports, earnings announcements, economic indicators, and utilising real-time market data provided by reliable brokerage platforms.

What is the difference between long-term investing and trading in the stock market?

Answer Field

Long-term investing involves holding stocks for extended periods, typically years or decades, with a focus on capital appreciation and dividend income. Trading involves buying and selling stocks more frequently, often based on short-term price movements.

How can I mitigate risks in the stock market?

Answer Field

Risk mitigation strategies include diversifying your portfolio, setting stop-loss orders, conducting thorough research, avoiding over-leveraging, and maintaining a long-term perspective on investments.

Are there any specific tax implications associated with stock market investments?

Answer Field

Yes, tax implications vary depending on factors such as investment duration, type of account (e.g., taxable brokerage account, retirement account), and realised gains or losses from selling stocks.

Can I invest in the stock market with a small amount of capital?

Answer Field

Yes, many brokerage platforms offer fractional investing or allow investors to purchase partial shares, enabling individuals with limited capital to start investing in the stock market with smaller amounts.

What are government bonds in India, and how do they work?

Answer Field

Government bonds in India serve as a financing tool for public initiatives, provided by the government. Investors buy these bonds, receiving fixed interest payments. They are a reliable option, offering security and predictable returns.

What are the benefits of investing in government bonds compared to other investment options?

Answer Field

Government bonds offer safety and stability, ideal for risk-averse investors. Compared to equities, they provide predictable returns, helping in portfolio diversification. Additionally, they are less volatile, making them suitable for long-term financial planning.

How can I buy government bonds in India, and what are the steps involved in the purchasing process?

Answer Field

To understand how to buy government bonds in India, investors can participate in Reserve Bank auctions, purchase through brokers, or invest in GILT mutual funds. A Demat account is necessary, followed by transaction completion on selected platforms.

What are the different types of government bonds available for investment in India?

Answer Field

India offers several government bonds, including treasury bills, sovereign gold bonds, and long-term bonds. Each type has distinct tenures and interest rates, catering to different investment needs, from short-term liquidity to long-term stability.

How do I determine the best government bonds to invest in India based on my financial goals?

Answer Field

Choosing the best government bonds to invest in India depends on individual goals. Short-term bonds offer liquidity, while long-term bonds provide stability. Consider factors like maturity, interest rates, and inflation protection for tailored investment decisions.

What factors should I consider when evaluating government bonds for investment?

Answer Field

Key factors include interest rates, inflation trends, and bond maturity. Evaluating these aspects helps in aligning bond choices with financial goals, especially for conservative portfolios. GILT mutual funds diversify risks across multiple government bonds.

How can I invest in government bonds through the online platform or through a broker?

Answer Field

Investors can invest in government bonds via online platforms, brokers, or banks. Online options facilitate participation in auctions and secondary markets, offering a streamlined process for how to invest in government bonds conveniently.

What are the tax implications of investing in government bonds in India?

Answer Field

Interest from government bonds is taxed according to the investor’s income bracket. However, some bonds may offer tax benefits. Understanding these implications helps optimise returns when considering how to invest in government bonds.

Are there any risks associated with investing in government bonds in India?

Answer Field

Although government bonds are low-risk, they are subject to interest rate fluctuations and inflation, which can impact returns. Understanding these risks is essential when considering how to invest in government bonds effectively.

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