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Share Market Update | April 29, 2024

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Synopsis:

Explore the latest market updates including Ircon International's ₹1,198 crore order, NBCC's subsidiary approval in Dubai, IREDA's Navratna Status, Apollo HealthCo’s ₹2,475 crore stake sale to Advent International, RBI's new debt investment limits for FPIs, and more. Plus, get detailed insights on FII DII data, option chain analysis, and outlook on global and Indian share markets.

Latest Market News

  1. Ircon International secures ₹1,198.09 crore order from East Coast Railway.
  2. NBCC gets in-principle approval to form a wholly owned subsidiary in Dubai.
  3. IREDA was awarded 'Navratna Status' by the Department of Public Enterprises.
  4. Apollo Hospitals secured ₹2,475 crore investment from Advent International in Apollo HealthCo for a 12.1% stake.
  5. RBI sets investment limits in debt by FPIs for FY25 and maintains the FPI gilt investment limit at 6%.
  6. ForexData shows that the Total reserves dropped by $2.8 billion to $640.3 billion, and foreign currency assets dropped by $3.8 billion to $560.9 bn in the week ended April 19.
  7. FIIs net sold equities worth ₹3,408.88 crore, while DIIs net bought ₹4,356.83 crore on Friday.

Detailed Global Market Insight: U.S. and International Stocks, Other Asset Classes, and Asian Market

US Share Market News

1. Performance Overview:

  • Last week, the S&P 500 rose 2.7%, driven by robust earnings from tech leaders like Microsoft and Alphabet, alongside a steady PCE report for March. However, Meta Platforms saw a notable drop of over 10% in its stock value due to a raised capex/opex forecast.

2. Economic Indicators:

  • Year-on-year PCE inflation hit 2.7%, slightly exceeding the anticipated 2.6%. Positive US data boosted market confidence with March's PCE Price Index up by 0.3%, meeting Reuters' forecasts.
  • Investor focus turns to the forthcoming Fed meeting for policy clues. Expectations lean towards unchanged interest rates in May, with potential cuts postponed to September or later due to ongoing inflation and strong consumer spending.

3. Sector-Specific Movements:

  • On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.40% to 38,239.66, the S&P 500 surged 1.02% to 5,099.96, and the Nasdaq Composite soared 2.03% to 15,927.90.

4. Corporate Earnings:

  • Major companies are expected to report their earnings this week, keeping the momentum of the earnings season going. After a calm Monday, Amazon.com Inc. and Coca-Cola Co. are slated to announce their earnings on Tuesday.

Other Asset Classes

1. Treasury Yields:

  • The longer-term US Treasury yields dipped as March inflation matched economists' forecasts. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield dropped 4.3 basis points to 4.663%.

2. Currency:

  • The U.S. dollar dipped slightly in early Monday trading due to Japan's holiday, while the yen, euro, and sterling remained close to their lows from Friday's volatile session. The dollar index stands at 105.80.

3. Commodities:

  • Gold prices saw a modest rise, with spot gold increasing by 0.21% to reach $2,336.79 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures settled slightly higher, up by 0.2% at $2,347.20.
  • Oil prices dropped in early Asian trading on Monday, reversing Friday's gains due to discouraging US inflation data. Brent crude fell by 0.84% to $88.75 a barrel, and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped 0.78% to $83.20 a barrel.

Asian Markets

1. General Trends:

  • Asian markets rallied on Monday ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting this week. Key data releases include China's April PMI and Japan's March industrial production and retail sales ahead of the Labor Day holiday on May 1.

2. Specific Index Performance:

  • Australia's benchmark indices surged by 0.55% today, bouncing back from Friday's downturn.
  • South Korea's Kospi climbed by 0.63%, with the smaller-cap Kosdaq notching a robust gain of 0.94%.
  • Japan's markets remained closed today due to a public holiday.

India Market Outlook

1. GIFT Nifty Projection:

  • Gift Nifty predicts a favourable start for the Indian market despite a decrease in global equity markets. It expects the Nifty spot to open positively and then possibly stabilise within a range of 22600 to 22420.

2. Nifty Short-Term Outlook:

  • The benchmark indices saw a pullback alongside global markets, with US rate cut expectations delayed post-strong inflation data. Nifty closed up 1.23% at 22420, and Bank Nifty at 48201, while Nifty Midcap and Small Cap hit all-time highs, up 3.96% and 4.37% respectively.
  • The index showed a pullback with a high wave candle, indicating potential consolidation around 22700-22200, supported by positive bias and short-term hurdles at 22500-22600.
  • Expectations include a higher base formation after an 850-point rally over 5 sessions, with short-term support at 22000-21900 levels, as per the lower channel band since Jan 2024 and a 61.8% retracement of the recent up move.

3. Intraday Levels:

  • Nifty: The day’s resistance levels for Nifty are at 22560 and 22620, with support at 22410 and 22350.
  • Bank Nifty: The resistance levels for Bank Nifty stand at 48530 and 48700, while support is located at 48200 and 48050.
  • Fin Nifty: For Fin Nifty, the resistance levels are at 21480 and 21570, while the support is at 21340 and 21270.

Derivative Market Analysis

1. Nifty:

  • Nifty’s weekly option chain suggests a potential range of 2000 points, with the highest call OI at 23500 and put OI at 21500. Heavy call writing above 22500 indicates anticipation of Nifty staying below 22500, though sustaining above it could trigger a short covering rally.
  • Weekly PCR OI of 0.75 indicates short-term bearishness but a monthly PCR OI of 1.35 suggests long-term bullishness,  advising to view dips as potential opportunities for fresh long positions.

2. Bank Nifty:

  • Bank Nifty's synthetic future for 30 April expiry is trading at 48259.75, with a weekly option chain indicating a range of 48000-48500. Put OI is concentrated below 48000, while call writers are active above 48500.
  • A sustained move above 48500 could trigger a short covering rally, while the overall bullish setup remains intact despite potential movement towards 48000.

3. Nifty Midcap:

  • Midcap Nifty has been in a strong uptrend since April 19. Its synthetic future is trading at 10978.40 and an option chain suggesting a range of 10900-11000 with the highest call and put OI at 11200 and 10800 respectively.
  • Significant additions in OI were observed at 11000 on Friday, which can be a deciding level for potential upmove if sustained. If it breaks 10900, support could be seen at 10800 during today's expiry session.

Stay on top of the latest market news with Bajaj Broking’s insights. Our point-to-point expert analysis digs deep into the surface, empowering you with a unique perspective on the events in the domestic as well as the global stock market. Get all the current share market news, including US share market updates in one place and make wise investment decisions.

Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.

This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly is the stock market, and how does it work?

Answer Field

The stock market is a platform where investors buy and sell shares of publicly traded companies. It operates through stock exchanges, where supply and demand for securities determine prices.

Why should I consider investing in the stock market?

Answer Field

Investing in the stock market offers the potential for long-term wealth growth, dividend income, portfolio diversification, and ownership stakes in successful companies.

How can I start investing in the stock market?

Answer Field

To begin investing in stocks, individuals can open a brokerage account, conduct research on companies and industries, and start building a diversified portfolio aligned with their investment goals and risk tolerance.

What factors should I consider before investing in stocks?

Answer Field

Important factors to consider include investment goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, market research, diversification, and staying informed about economic and market trends.

What are the risks associated with stock market investments?

Answer Field

Risks include market volatility, liquidity risk, company-specific risks, and the potential for loss of capital. It's essential for investors to assess their risk tolerance and diversify their portfolios accordingly.

How do I stay informed about daily market happenings?

Answer Field

You can stay informed by monitoring financial news websites, market analysis reports, earnings announcements, economic indicators, and utilising real-time market data provided by reliable brokerage platforms.

What is the difference between long-term investing and trading in the stock market?

Answer Field

Long-term investing involves holding stocks for extended periods, typically years or decades, with a focus on capital appreciation and dividend income. Trading involves buying and selling stocks more frequently, often based on short-term price movements.

How can I mitigate risks in the stock market?

Answer Field

Risk mitigation strategies include diversifying your portfolio, setting stop-loss orders, conducting thorough research, avoiding over-leveraging, and maintaining a long-term perspective on investments.

Are there any specific tax implications associated with stock market investments?

Answer Field

Yes, tax implications vary depending on factors such as investment duration, type of account (e.g., taxable brokerage account, retirement account), and realised gains or losses from selling stocks.

Can I invest in the stock market with a small amount of capital?

Answer Field

Yes, many brokerage platforms offer fractional investing or allow investors to purchase partial shares, enabling individuals with limited capital to start investing in the stock market with smaller amounts.

What are government bonds in India, and how do they work?

Answer Field

Government bonds in India serve as a financing tool for public initiatives, provided by the government. Investors buy these bonds, receiving fixed interest payments. They are a reliable option, offering security and predictable returns.

What are the benefits of investing in government bonds compared to other investment options?

Answer Field

Government bonds offer safety and stability, ideal for risk-averse investors. Compared to equities, they provide predictable returns, helping in portfolio diversification. Additionally, they are less volatile, making them suitable for long-term financial planning.

How can I buy government bonds in India, and what are the steps involved in the purchasing process?

Answer Field

To understand how to buy government bonds in India, investors can participate in Reserve Bank auctions, purchase through brokers, or invest in GILT mutual funds. A Demat account is necessary, followed by transaction completion on selected platforms.

What are the different types of government bonds available for investment in India?

Answer Field

India offers several government bonds, including treasury bills, sovereign gold bonds, and long-term bonds. Each type has distinct tenures and interest rates, catering to different investment needs, from short-term liquidity to long-term stability.

How do I determine the best government bonds to invest in India based on my financial goals?

Answer Field

Choosing the best government bonds to invest in India depends on individual goals. Short-term bonds offer liquidity, while long-term bonds provide stability. Consider factors like maturity, interest rates, and inflation protection for tailored investment decisions.

What factors should I consider when evaluating government bonds for investment?

Answer Field

Key factors include interest rates, inflation trends, and bond maturity. Evaluating these aspects helps in aligning bond choices with financial goals, especially for conservative portfolios. GILT mutual funds diversify risks across multiple government bonds.

How can I invest in government bonds through the online platform or through a broker?

Answer Field

Investors can invest in government bonds via online platforms, brokers, or banks. Online options facilitate participation in auctions and secondary markets, offering a streamlined process for how to invest in government bonds conveniently.

What are the tax implications of investing in government bonds in India?

Answer Field

Interest from government bonds is taxed according to the investor’s income bracket. However, some bonds may offer tax benefits. Understanding these implications helps optimise returns when considering how to invest in government bonds.

Are there any risks associated with investing in government bonds in India?

Answer Field

Although government bonds are low-risk, they are subject to interest rate fluctuations and inflation, which can impact returns. Understanding these risks is essential when considering how to invest in government bonds effectively.

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